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Trento vs Folgore Caratese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Briamasco, Trento
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trento host Folgore Caratese in the Serie C - Group A. This one's hard to separate. Folgore Caratese have shipped 0.91 goals a game lately, while Trento have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.48. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.31 - 0.81) back Trento to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Trento
35%
Draws
27%
Folgore Caratese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trento lately — more wins on the board than Folgore Caratese.
  • Win probability leans Trento's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Trento Clean Sheet 68%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trento Folgore Caratese
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 15 13
Draws 9 14
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trento 68 / 100
Folgore Caratese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trento Folgore Caratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trento Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trento has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Trento scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Folgore Caratese has conceded goals in 60% of their last 35 outings.

Difficult form: Folgore Caratese registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trento VS Folgore Caratese
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Trento

(Home)
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
21 Sept
Trento
4 : 0
Pro Vercelli
17 Sept
Giana Erminio
2 : 2
Trento
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0
Union Brescia
Page 1 of 7

Folgore Caratese

(Away)
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1
Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)