Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Agyemang G.
19'
19'
Di Cosmo L.
36'
36'
Sub
Capone C. In: Chinetti F.
Out: Capone C.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Trento and Novara finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Novara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Trento come out ahead of Novara on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Trento Clean Sheet 18%
Novara Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trento | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Novara
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Trento
1:1
Apr 18, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Trento
3:0
Dec 6, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Novara
1:3
Jan 21, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Novara
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trento Compare
Top Goalscorer Aucelli C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Novara Compare
Top Goalscorer Alberti T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trento 32 / 100
Novara 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trento Novara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trento found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Novara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Trento stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Trento VS Novara
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Trento
(Home) 01 Aug
Trento
0 : 1 Modena
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 0 Sassuolo
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 1 Parma
19 Jul
Genoa
2 : 1 Trento
03 May
Trento
1 : 2 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Trento
0 : 1 Modena
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 0 Sassuolo
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 1 Parma
03 May
Trento
1 : 2 Giana Erminio
19 Apr
Trento
3 : 3 Renate
Page 1 of 4
Novara
(Away) 05 Aug
Entella
2 : 1 Novara
01 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2 Novara
26 Jul
Novara
2 : 1 Inter U23
25 Apr
Ospitaletto
0 : 2 Novara
19 Apr
Novara
0 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 6
05 Aug
Entella
2 : 1 Novara
01 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2 Novara
25 Apr
Ospitaletto
0 : 2 Novara
11 Apr
Vicenza
3 : 1 Novara
28 Mar
Renate
3 : 1 Novara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
