Sport Picks

Kosovo

Liga e Pare

Suhareka

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Liga e Pare encounter between Trepca 89 and Suhareka promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Trepca 89 averages 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded in recent matches. Suhareka shows a form average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Trepca 89, 1 wins for Suhareka, and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 26.04.26 ended in a 5:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.94 for Trepca 89 and 1.50 for Suhareka, suggesting the primary value lies in the Trepca 89 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Trepca 89

22%

Draws

28%

Suhareka

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Trepca 89

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Trepca 89 picked up more points recently compared to Suhareka.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Trepca 89 Clean Sheet 16%

Suhareka Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Trepca 89	Suhareka
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	19	11
Draws	7	5
Losses	4	14
Goals Scored	2.1	1.73
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

26.04.26 Liga e Pare

Trepca 89 vs Suhareka

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

5:3

22.10.25 Liga e Pare

Suhareka vs Trepca 89

Possession: 59% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

04.12.24 Kosovar Cup

Trepca 89 vs Suhareka

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

1:3

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Trepca 89

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Suhareka

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trepca 89 48 / 100

Suhareka 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Trepca 89 Suhareka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Trepca 89 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Trepca 89 is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Trepca 89 55%

Suhareka 22%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

Suhareka will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Trepca 89's attacks.

Trepca 89 48%

Suhareka 29%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Trepca 89 to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Trepca 89 50%

Suhareka 28%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Trepca 89 vary their attacking width.

Trepca 89 53%

Suhareka 27%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Suhareka, allowing Trepca 89's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Trepca 89 45%

Suhareka 31%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Trepca 89, while Suhareka takes risks to salvage a result.

Trepca 89 57%

Suhareka 32%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Trepca 89 attacking → ← attacking Suhareka

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trepca 89 have found the net in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Suhareka have conceded at least one goal in 87% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 4.67 goals per match.

Trepca 89 remained undefeated in 5 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Suhareka suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 38

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vushtrria	34	22	9	3	62:26	75
2	Feronikeli	34	22	8	4	59:22	74
3	Liria	34	21	8	5	60:29	71
4	Dinamo Ferizaj	34	22	5	7	61:39	71
5	Trepca 89	34	20	10	4	72:33	70
6	Vellaznimi	34	21	7	6	58:32	70
7	Ramiz Sadiku	34	14	8	12	39:29	50
8	Suhareka	34	13	5	16	60:61	44
9	Tefik Canga	34	12	4	18	48:54	40
10	2 Korriku	34	11	6	17	52:64	39
11	Besa Peja	33	9	8	16	39:52	35
12	Vjosa	34	9	8	17	39:61	35
13	Trepca Mitrovice	34	9	7	18	49:62	34
14	Kika	34	9	6	19	25:43	33
15	Istogu	34	7	11	16	47:60	32
16	Rilindja	34	8	8	18	34:61	32
17	Kek-U	33	4	9	20	25:63	21
18	Prizreni	34	3	11	20	28:66	20