Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trepca Mitrovice vs Rahoveci

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trepca Mitrovice in this Liga e Pare 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trepca Mitrovice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Trepca Mitrovice
30%
Draws
31%
Rahoveci
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trepca Mitrovice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Trepca Mitrovice have won more games recently than Rahoveci.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga e Pare 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Trepca Mitrovice Clean Sheet 10%
Rahoveci Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trepca Mitrovice Rahoveci
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.09 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Rahoveci
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Rahoveci
4:1
Aug 31, 2024 Liga e Pare
Rahoveci vs Trepca Mitrovice
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trepca Mitrovice 30 / 100
Rahoveci 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trepca Mitrovice Rahoveci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rahoveci conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Solid form: Trepca Mitrovice remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Rahoveci lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trepca Mitrovice VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trepca Mitrovice

(Home)
11 Sept
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
06 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 0
Kika
30 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 2
Rilindja
23 Aug
Dinamo Ferizaj
5 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
16 Aug
Trepca Mitrovice
3 : 1
Mitrovica
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Rahoveci

(Away)
18 May
Rahoveci
3 : 4
Drenica
09 May
Mitrovica
0 : 3
Rahoveci
03 May
Istogu
5 : 1
Rahoveci
27 Apr
Rahoveci
0 : 0
Rilindja
20 Apr
Besa Peja
2 : 1
Rahoveci
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drenica 27 17 7 3 48:25 58
2 Liria 27 15 6 6 33:21 51
3 Trepca 89 27 14 5 8 46:31 47
4 Vellaznimi 27 11 10 6 35:25 43
5 Trepca Mitrovice 27 11 9 7 35:26 42
6 Besa Peja 27 8 8 11 26:32 32
7 Istogu 27 7 10 10 44:49 31
8 Rilindja 27 8 4 15 32:47 28
9 Rahoveci 27 4 8 15 27:45 20
10 Mitrovica 27 4 5 18 25:50 17
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina e Re 27 22 3 2 62:15 69
2 Vushtrria 27 21 4 2 55:15 67
3 Ramiz Sadiku 27 15 3 9 47:31 48
4 Dinamo Ferizaj 27 10 7 10 40:38 37
5 Kek-U 27 9 10 8 29:29 37
6 2 Korriku 27 8 6 13 26:39 30
7 Kika 27 8 5 14 24:39 29
8 Vjosa 27 9 1 17 34:50 28
9 Fushe Kosova 27 6 4 17 22:48 22
10 Flamurtari 27 2 7 18 17:52 13
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)