Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trepca Mitrovice vs Tefik Canga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga e Pare game between Trepca Mitrovice and Tefik Canga finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Trepca Mitrovice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Trepca Mitrovice
30%
Draws
8%
Tefik Canga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trepca Mitrovice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Trepca Mitrovice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Trepca Mitrovice are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Trepca Mitrovice here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Trepca Mitrovice Clean Sheet 18%
Tefik Canga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trepca Mitrovice Tefik Canga
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 2 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Tefik Canga
1:0
Apr 17, 2026 Liga e Pare
Tefik Canga vs Trepca Mitrovice
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga e Pare
Trepca Mitrovice vs Tefik Canga
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trepca Mitrovice 49 / 100
Tefik Canga 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trepca Mitrovice Tefik Canga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trepca Mitrovice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tefik Canga has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Trepca Mitrovice's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Trepca Mitrovice stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trepca Mitrovice VS Tefik Canga
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trepca Mitrovice

(Home)
03 Oct
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Besa Peja
27 Sept
Suhareka
4 : 1
Trepca Mitrovice
21 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Tefik Canga
11 Sept
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Trepca Mitrovice
06 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
0 : 0
Kika
Page 1 of 6

Tefik Canga

(Away)
10 Oct
Tefik Canga
0 : 1
Rilindja
03 Oct
KF Lepenci
2 : 1
Tefik Canga
27 Sept
Tefik Canga
1 : 1
Kika
21 Sept
Trepca Mitrovice
1 : 0
Tefik Canga
11 Sept
Tefik Canga
0 : 1
Dinamo Ferizaj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Ferizaj 8 5 3 0 16:4 18
2 Rilindja 9 5 2 2 12:8 17
3 Liria 7 5 1 1 9:4 16
4 Prishtina e Re 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
5 Suhareka 9 3 4 2 15:10 13
6 Trepca 89 8 3 4 1 8:5 13
7 Istogu 9 4 1 4 10:14 13
8 2 Korriku 8 3 2 3 6:5 11
9 Trepca Mitrovice 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
10 Ferizaj 8 2 4 2 9:5 10
11 Vellaznimi 9 3 1 5 11:18 10
12 Vjosa 8 2 3 3 9:8 9
13 Kika 8 1 6 1 4:6 9
14 Ramiz Sadiku 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
15 Besa Peja 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
16 KF Lepenci 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
17 Mitrovica 7 0 4 3 5:11 4
18 Tefik Canga 9 0 3 6 7:14 3
Promotion - Superliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga (Relegation)