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Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tres Coracoes in this Mineiro 3 2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tres Coracoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Tres Coracoes
17%
Draws
70%
Pocos de Caldas
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Pocos de Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pocos de Caldas lately — more wins on the board than Tres Coracoes.
  • Win probability leans Pocos de Caldas's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pocos de Caldas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 10%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Coracoes Pocos de Caldas
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 3.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Tres Coracoes
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs Tres Coracoes
3:1
Sep 25, 2023 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
0:1
Sep 11, 2022 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Pocos de Caldas
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Coracoes 14 / 100
Pocos de Caldas 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Coracoes Pocos de Caldas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocos de Caldas let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Pocos de Caldas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Tres Coracoes found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Tres Coracoes VS Pocos de Caldas
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Esporte Clube751112:516
2Valeriodoce751111:516
3America TO742111:614
4Novo Esporte741213:813
5Boston City723211:89
6Contagem72238:78
7Juventus Minasnovense71068:143
8Ideal FC70070:210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itabirito760112:118
2Villa Real74127:413
3Santarritense73318:412
4Tres Coracoes731312:1310
5Passos72325:59
6Figueirense Esporte Clube71426:107
7Betis71335:86
8Pocos de Caldas70162:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araxa75207:217
2Coimbra Esporte Clube741213:813
3Nacional Uberaba740311:812
4Mamore733112:812
5Inter de Minas72237:88
6Serranense71338:106
7Paracatu71337:126
8Sao Gotardo70254:132