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Tres Coracoes vs Varginha

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between Tres Coracoes and Varginha finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varginha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tres Coracoes
6%
Draws
90%
Varginha
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Varginha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tres Coracoes haven't matched Varginha's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Varginha's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Tres Coracoes Clean Sheet 10%
Varginha Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tres Coracoes Varginha
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 9
Draws 2 10
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2021 Mineiro 3
Tres Coracoes vs Varginha
2:3
Sep 19, 2021 Mineiro 3
Varginha vs Tres Coracoes
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tres Coracoes 10 / 100
Varginha 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tres Coracoes Varginha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Varginha let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Tres Coracoes's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Tres Coracoes remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tres Coracoes VS Varginha
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santarritense84319:415
2Varginha842218:1314
3Pocos de Caldas835014:514
4Tres Coracoes83149:1510
5Figueirense Esporte Clube80176:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uberaba851225:716
2Araxa842217:714
3Patrocinense832310:1111
4Inter de Minas82517:611
5Araguari80262:302
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO843110:515
2Manchester Futebol842210:514
3Contagem84138:513
4Boston City841311:713
5Betis80173:201