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Tresnjevka vs Karlovac Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka Logo

Tresnjevka

1 - 1
FT
Karlovac Logo

Karlovac

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Tresnjevka and Karlovac finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tresnjevka
20%
Draws
40%
Karlovac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Karlovac come out ahead of Tresnjevka on wins alone.
  • Model gives Karlovac a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Tresnjevka Clean Sheet 21%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tresnjevka Karlovac
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 7 20
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.57 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 3. HNL Center
Karlovac vs Tresnjevka
5:0
Mar 23, 2022 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Karlovac
1:1
Mar 27, 2021 3. HNL Center
Karlovac vs Tresnjevka
5:0
Aug 29, 2020 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Karlovac
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tresnjevka 29 / 100
Karlovac 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tresnjevka Karlovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tresnjevka scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Karlovac let in goals in 77% of their last 47 matches.

Tresnjevka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karlovac
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tresnjevka

(Home)
22 Jul
Tresnjevka
1 : 1
Zagorec Krapina
28 May
Karlovac
5 : 0
Tresnjevka
21 May
Tresnjevka
4 : 0
Kurilovec
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Tresnjevka
5 : 3
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 6

Karlovac

(Away)
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)