Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tresnjevka vs Kurilovec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka Logo

Tresnjevka

4 - 0
FT
Kurilovec Logo

Kurilovec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Tresnjevka and Kurilovec finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tresnjevka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tresnjevka
15%
Draws
48%
Kurilovec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kurilovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kurilovec come out ahead of Tresnjevka on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Kurilovec taking it.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tresnjevka Clean Sheet 14%
Kurilovec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tresnjevka Kurilovec
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.57 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Kurilovec
4:0
Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Tresnjevka
1:2
Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Kurilovec
0:6
Aug 22, 2020 3. HNL Center
Kurilovec vs Tresnjevka
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tresnjevka 10 / 100
Kurilovec 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tresnjevka Kurilovec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kurilovec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kurilovec has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Tresnjevka scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Tresnjevka stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tresnjevka VS Kurilovec
1.71 Goals Scored 0.88
2.29 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tresnjevka

(Home)
22 Jul
Tresnjevka
1 : 1
Zagorec Krapina
28 May
Karlovac
5 : 0
Tresnjevka
21 May
Tresnjevka
4 : 0
Kurilovec
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Tresnjevka
5 : 3
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 6

Kurilovec

(Away)
01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4
Bjelovar
04 Mar
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0
Kurilovec
05 Nov
Kurilovec
2 : 1
Istra 1961
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0
Oriolik
27 Aug
Zemunik
2 : 12
Kurilovec
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)