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Stadium Background

Tresnjevka vs Segesta

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka Logo

Tresnjevka

1 - 4
FT
Segesta Logo

Segesta

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Tresnjevka and Segesta finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Segesta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tresnjevka
20%
Draws
40%
Segesta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Tresnjevka haven't matched Segesta's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tresnjevka Clean Sheet 10%
Segesta Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tresnjevka Segesta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 21
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.57 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.27 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Segesta
1:4
Aug 28, 2021 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Tresnjevka
2:2
May 29, 2021 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Tresnjevka
2:1
Nov 14, 2020 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Segesta
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tresnjevka 30 / 100
Segesta 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tresnjevka Segesta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Tresnjevka found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Segesta let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Tresnjevka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Segesta
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tresnjevka

(Home)
22 Jul
Tresnjevka
1 : 1
Zagorec Krapina
28 May
Karlovac
5 : 0
Tresnjevka
21 May
Tresnjevka
4 : 0
Kurilovec
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Tresnjevka
5 : 3
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 6

Segesta

(Away)
12 Sept
Segesta
2 : 1
Dugopolje
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
28 Aug
Vukovar 1991
2 : 0
Segesta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)