Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Hood J.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trethomas Bluebirds
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Trethomas Bluebirds haven't matched Baglan Dragons's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Trethomas Bluebirds's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 14%
Baglan Dragons Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trethomas Bluebirds | Baglan Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:0
Nov 22, 2024 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trethomas Bluebirds 57 / 100
Baglan Dragons 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trethomas Bluebirds Baglan Dragons
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trethomas Bluebirds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Trethomas Bluebirds scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Baglan Dragons has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Trethomas Bluebirds went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Trethomas Bluebirds VS Baglan Dragons
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Trethomas Bluebirds
(Home) 26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4 Caerau Ely
31 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 0 Baglan Dragons
23 Jun
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 3 Penybont
Page 1 of 3
Baglan Dragons
(Away) 25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1 Caerphilly
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1 Baglan Dragons
21 Aug
Newport City
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
31 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 0 Baglan Dragons
03 Apr
Cambrian United
2 : 0 Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Carmarthen Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Caerau Ely | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 13 |
| 6 | Treowen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Baglan Dragons | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Afan Lido | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Ynyshir Albions | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Newport City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Pontardawe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:25 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
