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Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trethomas Bluebirds host Cardiff Draconians in the Cymru South. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Trethomas Bluebirds have averaged 1.6 scored and 2.27 conceded recently, against Cardiff Draconians's 1.71 scored and 2.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Trethomas Bluebirds have won 0 to Cardiff Draconians's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 4:4. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.56, favoring Cardiff Draconians. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Trethomas Bluebirds
35%
Draws
40%
Cardiff Draconians
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cardiff Draconians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cardiff Draconians come out ahead of Trethomas Bluebirds on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 15%
Cardiff Draconians Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trethomas Bluebirds Cardiff Draconians
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.6 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cardiff Draconians
4:4
Oct 25, 2025 Cymru South
Cardiff Draconians vs Trethomas Bluebirds
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trethomas Bluebirds 35 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trethomas Bluebirds Cardiff Draconians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff Draconians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cardiff Draconians let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Trethomas Bluebirds scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Trethomas Bluebirds went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trethomas Bluebirds VS Cardiff Draconians
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Trethomas Bluebirds

(Home)
16 Oct
Cambrian United
5 : 0
Trethomas Bluebirds
10 Oct
Treowen
1 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3
Pontardawe
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2
Caerphilly
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff Draconians

(Away)
10 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
03 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 1
Newport City
26 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
1 : 3
Caerau Ely
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
22 Aug
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 2
Llanelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 10 6 2 2 24:17 20
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 10 6 1 3 22:18 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Carmarthen Town 10 4 3 3 22:21 15
8 Trethomas Bluebirds 10 3 4 3 20:18 13
9 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
10 Afan Lido 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
11 Caerphilly 10 3 2 5 12:19 11
12 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
13 Cardiff Draconians 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
14 Newport City 8 2 2 4 12:9 8
15 Llantwit Major 9 2 2 5 8:21 8
16 Llanelli 11 0 2 9 9:33 2
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