Sport Picks
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cwmbran Celtic Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
27'
27'
Thomas J.
61'
61'
Rees O.
AI Match Summary
Trethomas Bluebirds in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trethomas Bluebirds.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trethomas Bluebirds
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Trethomas Bluebirds have won more games recently than Cwmbran Celtic.
- Trethomas Bluebirds are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Trethomas Bluebirds here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trethomas Bluebirds | Cwmbran Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.21 | 2.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 30, 2026 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cwmbran Celtic
2:0
Sep 26, 2025 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:2
Mar 7, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Cwmbran Celtic
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds
4:6
Jul 20, 2024 League Cup
Cwmbran Celtic vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trethomas Bluebirds Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rees O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Cwmbran Celtic Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trethomas Bluebirds 83 / 100
Cwmbran Celtic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trethomas Bluebirds Cwmbran Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Trethomas Bluebirds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cwmbran Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Trethomas Bluebirds scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Trethomas Bluebirds went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Trethomas Bluebirds VS Cwmbran Celtic
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Trethomas Bluebirds
(Home) 03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3 Pontardawe
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1 Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3 Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3 Pontardawe
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2 Caerphilly
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
14 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 4 Caerau Ely
31 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 : 0 Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 3
Cwmbran Celtic
(Away) 18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
24 Mar
Baglan Dragons
0 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
21 Mar
Caerau Ely
0 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
14 Feb
Llantwit Major
3 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Jan
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
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