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Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trethomas Bluebirds host Llantwit Major in the Cymru South. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Llantwit Major have shipped 1.84 goals a game lately, while Trethomas Bluebirds have conceded 2.27 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Trethomas Bluebirds slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 5, 2025, ending 2:2. xG projections (2.06 - 1.50) back Llantwit Major to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Trethomas Bluebirds
20%
Draws
40%
Llantwit Major
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Trethomas Bluebirds haven't matched Llantwit Major's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 16%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trethomas Bluebirds Llantwit Major
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major
2:2
Sep 6, 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:1
Sep 27, 2024 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Llantwit Major
1:1
Jul 27, 2024 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Trethomas Bluebirds
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trethomas Bluebirds 30 / 100
Llantwit Major 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trethomas Bluebirds Llantwit Major

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trethomas Bluebirds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trethomas Bluebirds scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Llantwit Major's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Trethomas Bluebirds stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trethomas Bluebirds VS Llantwit Major
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trethomas Bluebirds

(Home)
23 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
3 : 1
Cardiff Draconians
16 Oct
Cambrian United
5 : 0
Trethomas Bluebirds
10 Oct
Treowen
1 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
03 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 3
Pontardawe
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6

Llantwit Major

(Away)
23 Oct
Caerau Ely
0 : 2
Llantwit Major
17 Oct
Trefelin
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
10 Oct
Llantwit Major
1 : 1
Pontardawe
06 Oct
Pontypridd United
4 : 1
Llantwit Major
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 9 6 3 0 30:11 21
2 Pontypridd United 11 6 3 2 28:21 21
3 Aberystwyth 9 6 1 2 22:9 19
4 Caerau Ely 11 6 1 4 22:20 19
5 Baglan Dragons 11 5 2 4 12:12 17
6 Ynyshir Albions 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 11 4 4 3 23:19 16
8 Carmarthen Town 11 4 3 4 23:24 15
9 Afan Lido 12 4 3 5 21:22 15
10 Caerphilly 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Treowen 10 4 1 5 19:21 13
12 Llantwit Major 10 3 2 5 10:21 11
13 Pontardawe 9 3 1 5 15:17 10
14 Newport City 9 2 3 4 16:13 9
15 Cardiff Draconians 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Llanelli 12 0 2 10 9:36 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)