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Trevigliese vs Correggese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Montalbano M.
20' Event
Cali C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Trevigliese and Correggese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Trevigliese
30%
Draws
58%
Correggese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Correggese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Trevigliese haven't matched Correggese's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Correggese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 10%
Correggese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trevigliese Correggese
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Trevigliese
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Correggese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trevigliese Compare

Top Goalscorer Montalbano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Correggese Compare

Top Goalscorer Cali C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trevigliese 18 / 100
Correggese 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trevigliese Correggese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Correggese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trevigliese scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Correggese conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Trevigliese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trevigliese VS Correggese
0.71 Goals Scored 1.5
2.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Trevigliese

(Home)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0
Trevigliese
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Correggese

(Away)
04 Oct
Correggese
2 : 1
Pavia
27 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 1
Correggese
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3
USD Casatese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)