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Trevigliese vs Lentigione - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Battistello A.
55' Event
Delcarro F.
57' Event
Penta M.

AI Match Summary

Lentigione in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lentigione.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Trevigliese
30%
Draws
54%
Lentigione
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lentigione

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lentigione lately — more wins on the board than Trevigliese.
  • Win probability leans Lentigione's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 11%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trevigliese Lentigione
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 20
Draws 8 6
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0.8 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Lentigione
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Trevigliese
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trevigliese Compare

Top Goalscorer Delcarro F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Lentigione Compare

Top Goalscorer Battistello A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Penta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trevigliese 27 / 100
Lentigione 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trevigliese Lentigione

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lentigione Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Trevigliese scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Lentigione's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Trevigliese remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trevigliese VS Lentigione
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.38
80% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 75%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trevigliese

(Home)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0
Trevigliese
Page 1 of 6

Lentigione

(Away)
07 Oct
Lentigione
1 : 3
Piacenza
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2
Lentigione
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)