Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trevigliese vs Sangiuliano City

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Barzago N.
42' Event
Barzago N.

AI Match Summary

Sangiuliano City in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sangiuliano City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Trevigliese
30%
Draws
47%
Sangiuliano City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sangiuliano City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sangiuliano City lately — more wins on the board than Trevigliese.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Trevigliese Clean Sheet 15%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trevigliese Sangiuliano City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Trevigliese vs Sangiuliano City
0:2
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Trevigliese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trevigliese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sangiuliano City Compare

Top Goalscorer Barzago N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trevigliese 31 / 100
Sangiuliano City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trevigliese Sangiuliano City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trevigliese scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Sangiuliano City has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Sangiuliano City has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trevigliese VS Sangiuliano City
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Trevigliese

(Home)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2
Lentigione
19 Apr
Correggese
1 : 1
Trevigliese
12 Apr
Trevigliese
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
02 Apr
Piacenza
2 : 0
Trevigliese
Page 1 of 6

Sangiuliano City

(Away)
03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5
Desenzano Calvina
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0
Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
02 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 3
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)