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Treviso vs Conegliano Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Brevi T.
45' Event
Nicoloso L.
60' Event
Guizzini N.

AI Match Summary

Conegliano in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conegliano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Treviso
35%
Draws
28%
Conegliano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Treviso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Treviso lately — more wins on the board than Conegliano.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Treviso Clean Sheet 68%
Conegliano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treviso Conegliano
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.28 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Conegliano
1:2
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs Treviso
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treviso Compare

Top Goalscorer Brevi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Conegliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicoloso L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guizzini N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treviso 41 / 100
Conegliano 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treviso Conegliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treviso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Treviso stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Treviso found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Conegliano let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Treviso VS Conegliano
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 13%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Treviso

(Home)
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2
Treviso
13 Sept
Treviso
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 7

Conegliano

(Away)
27 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 1
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0
FC Obermais
16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1
Conegliano
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
06 Sept
Campodarsego
4 : 0
Conegliano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)