Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C

FC Obermais

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Treviso play FC Obermais in the Serie D - Group C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Treviso averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. FC Obermais averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Treviso won 1, FC Obermais won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Treviso and 1.31 for FC Obermais. This points to a Treviso double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Treviso

25%

Draws

28%

FC Obermais

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Treviso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Treviso picked up more points recently compared to FC Obermais.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Treviso Clean Sheet 18%

FC Obermais Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Treviso	FC Obermais
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	16	8
Draws	6	9
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	1.33	1.17
Goals Conceded	0.83	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group C

Treviso vs FC Obermais

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group C

FC Obermais vs Treviso

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treviso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Obermais Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngom M. B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Turini S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treviso 46 / 100

FC Obermais 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Treviso FC Obermais

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Treviso or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Treviso attacking → ← attacking FC Obermais

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Treviso scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

FC Obermais let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Treviso went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Obermais lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 33

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Treviso	34	21	6	7	50:25	69
2	Legnago Salus	34	18	7	9	63:41	61
3	Clodiense	34	17	9	8	47:29	60
4	Este	34	14	13	7	40:29	55
5	Mestre	34	14	13	7	37:29	55
6	Cjarlins Muzane	34	13	12	9	41:39	51
7	Brian Lignano	34	16	8	10	58:34	50
8	Conegliano	34	13	11	10	36:28	50
9	Bassano Virtus	34	12	14	8	37:27	50
10	Campodarsego	34	13	9	12	37:34	48
11	Altavilla	34	10	16	8	28:24	46
12	Calvi Noale	34	13	5	16	38:40	44
13	Luparense FC	34	10	13	11	36:39	43
14	Vigasio	34	8	14	12	44:46	38
15	San Luigi	34	8	10	16	33:54	34
16	FC Obermais	34	8	10	16	33:46	34
17	Adriese	34	5	6	23	24:62	18
18	Portogruaro	34	1	8	25	25:81	11