Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Treviso vs Portogruaro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Salvi M.
29' Event
Scotto L.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Serena F.

AI Match Summary

Treviso in this Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treviso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Treviso
15%
Draws
0%
Portogruaro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Treviso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Treviso have won more games recently than Portogruaro.
  • Model gives Treviso a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Treviso Clean Sheet 68%
Portogruaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Treviso Portogruaro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 1
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 1.32 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.84 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Portogruaro
4:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Treviso
2:4
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Portogruaro
1:3
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Portogruaro vs Treviso
0:3
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Treviso vs Portogruaro
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Treviso Compare

Top Goalscorer Salvi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serena F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Portogruaro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Treviso 95 / 100
Portogruaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Treviso Portogruaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Treviso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portogruaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Away concern: Portogruaro has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Treviso scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Treviso VS Portogruaro
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Treviso

(Home)
16 Aug
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 0
Treviso
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0
Treviso
10 May
Treviso
3 : 3
Vado
03 May
Mestre
1 : 0
Treviso
26 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2
Este
Page 1 of 7

Portogruaro

(Away)
03 May
Portogruaro
0 : 2
Clodiense
26 Apr
Legnago Salus
5 : 0
Portogruaro
19 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 3
Calvi Noale
11 Apr
Brian Lignano
4 : 2
Portogruaro
02 Apr
Portogruaro
1 : 4
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)