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Triesen vs Balzers

Liechtenstein Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein Cup 2020/2021
Tue, Oct 27, 2020
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Liechtenstein Cup 2020/2021. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Balzers have shipped 1.56 goals a game lately, while Triesen have conceded 3.34 and scored 2.24. Past meetings favor Balzers slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2022, ending 2:5. Model xG sits at 1.89 vs 4.00, favoring Balzers. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Triesen
15%
Draws
51%
Balzers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balzers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Triesen haven't matched Balzers's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Balzers's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Balzers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Balzers, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Balzers have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Triesen Clean Sheet 10%
Balzers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triesen Balzers
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 14 20
Draws 0 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2.24 2.89
Goals Conceded 3.34 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.89 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2022 Liechtenstein Cup
Triesen vs Balzers
2:5
Oct 27, 2020 Liechtenstein Cup
Triesen vs Balzers
0:0
Aug 26, 2015 Liechtenstein Cup
Triesen vs Balzers
1:4
Oct 20, 2010 Liechtenstein Cup
Triesen vs Balzers
1:13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triesen 10 / 100
Balzers 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triesen Balzers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balzers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Triesen scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Balzers let in goals in 78% of their last 36 matches.

Recent resilience: Triesen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Triesen VS Balzers
1.4 Goals Scored 1
7 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Triesen

(Home)
26 Aug
Triesen
0 : 8
Vaduz B
14 Apr
Triesen
1 : 11
Eschen/Mauren
29 Oct
Vaduz C
2 : 3
Triesen
18 Sept
Ruggell B
1 : 3
Triesen
17 Sept
Triesen
0 : 13
Vaduz
Page 1 of 6

Balzers

(Away)
15 Apr
Balzers
2 : 4
Vaduz
05 Nov
Eschen/Mauren B
1 : 4
Balzers
17 Sept
Triesen B
0 : 4
Balzers
20 May
Balzers
2 : 3
Vaduz
09 Apr
Ruggell B
0 : 15
Balzers
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ruggell B -
TBD -
TBD -
Triesen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzers -
Schaan 5
Eschen/Mauren C 4
TBD -
Triesen B -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaduz -
Triesenberg B -
TBD -
Balzers B 4
Eschen/Mauren B 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruggell -
Vaduz C -
TBD -
Schaan B 0
Triesenberg 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eschen/Mauren -
1/8-finals
Ruggell B 2
Triesen 3
TBD -
Balzers -
Schaan 6
Triesen B 1
TBD -
Vaduz -
Triesenberg B 0
Balzers B 6
TBD -
Ruggell -
Vaduz C 1
Triesenberg 11
TBD -
Eschen/Mauren -
Quarter-finals
Triesen -
Balzers -
Schaan -
Vaduz -
Balzers B -
Ruggell -
Triesenberg -
Eschen/Mauren -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -