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Triesen vs Vaduz

Liechtenstein Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-18, with Vaduz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Triesen
15%
Draws
46%
Vaduz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vaduz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaduz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Vaduz taking it.
  • Vaduz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vaduz, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • Vaduz have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Triesen Clean Sheet 10%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triesen Vaduz
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 15 26
Draws 0 2
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 2.33 3.45
Goals Conceded 3.23 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2024 Liechtenstein Cup
Triesen vs Vaduz
0:13
Oct 29, 2019 Liechtenstein Cup
Triesen vs Vaduz
1:3
Apr 11, 2017 Liechtenstein Cup
Triesen vs Vaduz
0:18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triesen 10 / 100
Vaduz 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triesen Vaduz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaduz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triesen found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 11.67 goals when they meet.

Vaduz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 38 matches.

Triesen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Triesen VS Vaduz
0 Goals Scored 1.88
8 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Triesen

(Home)
26 Aug
Triesen
0 : 8
Vaduz B
14 Apr
Triesen
1 : 11
Eschen/Mauren
29 Oct
Vaduz C
2 : 3
Triesen
18 Sept
Ruggell B
1 : 3
Triesen
17 Sept
Triesen
0 : 13
Vaduz
Page 1 of 6

Vaduz

(Away)
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
23 Aug
Young Boys
4 : 2
Vaduz
13 Aug
Vaduz
2 : 2
Inter Turku
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Triesenberg -
TBD -
Schaan C 1
Eschen/Mauren C 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Schaan -
Balzers 5
Triesen B 1
Triesenberg B 0
Eschen/Mauren B 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eschen/Mauren -
Triesen -
TBD -
Schaan Azzurri 1
Ruggell B 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzers B -
Ruggell -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzers C -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaduz -
1/8-finals
Triesenberg 7
Eschen/Mauren C 0
TBD -
Schaan -
Balzers 3
Eschen/Mauren B 0
TBD -
Eschen/Mauren -
Triesen 1
Ruggell B 0
TBD -
Balzers B -
Ruggell 2
Balzers C 0
TBD -
Vaduz -
Quarter-finals
Triesenberg 3
Schaan 1
Balzers 0
Eschen/Mauren 4
Triesen 2
Balzers B 0
Ruggell 0
Vaduz 11
Semi-finals
Triesenberg 2
Eschen/Mauren 4
Triesen 0
Vaduz 18
Final
Eschen/Mauren 1
Vaduz 5