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Triesen vs Vaduz

Liechtenstein Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein Cup 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-13, with Vaduz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Triesen
15%
Draws
42%
Vaduz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Triesen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vaduz come out ahead of Triesen on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Vaduz taking it.
  • Vaduz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vaduz, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vaduz have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Triesen Clean Sheet 10%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triesen Vaduz
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 15 27
Draws 0 2
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 2.33 3.63
Goals Conceded 3.23 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2024 Liechtenstein Cup
Triesen vs Vaduz
0:13
Oct 29, 2019 Liechtenstein Cup
Triesen vs Vaduz
1:3
Apr 11, 2017 Liechtenstein Cup
Triesen vs Vaduz
0:18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triesen 10 / 100
Vaduz 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triesen Vaduz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaduz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triesen scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 11.67 goals as a typical output.

Vaduz let in goals in 75% of their last 40 matches.

Vaduz lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Triesen VS Vaduz
0 Goals Scored 1.75
8 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Triesen

(Home)
26 Aug
Triesen
0 : 8
Vaduz B
14 Apr
Triesen
1 : 11
Eschen/Mauren
29 Oct
Vaduz C
2 : 3
Triesen
18 Sept
Ruggell B
1 : 3
Triesen
17 Sept
Triesen
0 : 13
Vaduz
Page 1 of 6

Vaduz

(Away)
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
13 Sept
Zurich
2 : 1
Vaduz
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ruggell B -
TBD -
TBD -
Schaan -
Eschen/Mauren B -
TBD -
TBD -
Schaan B -
Balzers C 2
Vaduz C 6
TBD -
Ruggell -
Eschen/Mauren C -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzers -
Balzers B -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaduz B -
Triesenberg -
TBD -
TBD -
Eschen/Mauren -
Triesenberg B -
TBD -
TBD -
Triesen B -
Triesen -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaduz -
1/8-finals
Ruggell B 2
Schaan 1
Eschen/Mauren B 3
Schaan B 0
Vaduz C 0
Ruggell 8
Eschen/Mauren C 1
Balzers 6
Balzers B 0
Vaduz B 5
Triesenberg 0
Eschen/Mauren 4
Triesenberg B 3
Triesen B 2
Triesen 0
Vaduz 13
Quarter-finals
Ruggell B 3
Eschen/Mauren B 1
Ruggell 1
Balzers 2
Vaduz B 1
Eschen/Mauren 3
Triesenberg B 0
Vaduz 10
Semi-finals
Ruggell B 0
Balzers 15
Eschen/Mauren 3
Vaduz 7
Final
Balzers 2
Vaduz 3