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Triestina vs FC Obermais - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Di Livio L.
28' Event
Di Livio L.

AI Match Summary

Triestina in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Triestina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Triestina
35%
Draws
32%
FC Obermais
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Obermais lately — more wins on the board than Triestina.
  • Win probability leans Triestina's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Triestina Clean Sheet 15%
FC Obermais Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triestina FC Obermais
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Triestina vs FC Obermais
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Livio L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

FC Obermais Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triestina 41 / 100
FC Obermais 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triestina FC Obermais

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Triestina scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

FC Obermais let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Triestina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Triestina VS FC Obermais
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Triestina

(Home)
04 Oct
Triestina
2 : 0
FC Obermais
27 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
3 : 0
Triestina
20 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Bassano Virtus
16 Sept
Campodarsego
2 : 1
Triestina
13 Sept
Triestina
1 : 1
Calvi Noale
Page 1 of 6

FC Obermais

(Away)
04 Oct
Triestina
2 : 0
FC Obermais
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2
Mestre
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0
FC Obermais
16 Sept
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)