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Triglav vs Krsko Posavje Prediction & H2H Stats

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026 Stanko Mlakar Stadium, Kranj
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Brkic M.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Magdic M.
68' Event
Kregar O.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Triglav and Krsko Posavje finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Triglav.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Triglav
20%
Draws
23%
Krsko Posavje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Triglav come out ahead of Krsko Posavje on wins alone.
  • Model gives Triglav a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Triglav have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Triglav Clean Sheet 68%
Krsko Posavje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Triglav Krsko Posavje
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 21 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.45 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 2. SNL
Triglav vs Krsko Posavje
4:0
Oct 11, 2025 2. SNL
Krsko Posavje vs Triglav
0:4
Mar 5, 2023 2. SNL
Krsko Posavje vs Triglav
1:2
Aug 19, 2022 2. SNL
Triglav vs Krsko Posavje
2:2
Apr 23, 2022 2. SNL
Krsko Posavje vs Triglav
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Triglav Compare

Top Goalscorer Magdic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kregar O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Krsko Posavje Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Triglav 95 / 100
Krsko Posavje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Triglav Krsko Posavje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Triglav Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Triglav's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Krsko Posavje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Triglav has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Triglav VS Krsko Posavje
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Triglav

(Home)
26 Sept
Triglav
1 : 1
Primorje
20 Sept
Triglav
3 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
16 Sept
Triglav
4 : 0
NK Brezice
13 Sept
Rudar
2 : 0
Triglav
04 Sept
Triglav
1 : 0
Bistrica
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Krsko Posavje

(Away)
27 Sept
Krsko Posavje
3 : 1
Bilje
19 Sept
Ilirija
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
12 Sept
Krsko Posavje
0 : 1
NK Krka
05 Sept
Beltinci
3 : 2
Krsko Posavje
29 Aug
Krsko Posavje
0 : 0
Jadran Dekani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)