Sport Picks
Trinidad & Tobago vs Dominican Republic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
North & Central America
CONCACAF Nations League Hasely Crawford Stadium, Port of Spain 
Match Events
37'
37'
Phillips D.
42'
42'
Morschel H.
Assist: Diaz M.
46'
46'
Sub
Garcia J. In: Hackshaw N.
Out: Garcia J.
AI Match Summary
The CONCACAF Nations League game between Trinidad & Tobago and Dominican Republic finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dominican Republic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
15%
76%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dominican Republic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dominican Republic come out ahead of Trinidad & Tobago on wins alone.
- Dominican Republic are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Trinidad & Tobago here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Trinidad & Tobago Clean Sheet 10%
Dominican Republic Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trinidad & Tobago | Dominican Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 28, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Trinidad & Tobago vs Dominican Republic
1:2
Oct 5, 2016 Caribbean Cup
Trinidad & Tobago vs Dominican Republic
4:0
Oct 9, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Trinidad & Tobago vs Dominican Republic
6:1
Dec 11, 2012 Caribbean Cup
Trinidad & Tobago vs Dominican Republic
2:1
Oct 8, 2008 Friendly International
Trinidad & Tobago vs Dominican Republic
9:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Trinidad & Tobago Compare
Top Goalscorer Phillips D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Dominican Republic Compare
Top Goalscorer Morschel H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diaz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Trinidad & Tobago 18 / 100
Dominican Republic 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Trinidad & Tobago Dominican Republic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dominican Republic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.
Trinidad & Tobago found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Dominican Republic has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Trinidad & Tobago remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Trinidad & Tobago VS Dominican Republic
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Trinidad & Tobago
(Home) 04 Oct
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 1 Curacao
01 Oct
Curacao
1 : 0 Trinidad & Tobago
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2 Trinidad & Tobago
26 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0 Trinidad & Tobago
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 1 Curacao
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
30 Mar
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 3 Gabon
19 Nov
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 2 Bermuda
14 Nov
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 1 Jamaica
Page 1 of 2
Dominican Republic
(Away) 05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
02 Oct
Dominican Republic
1 : 4 Haiti
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Dominican Republic
3 : 2 Nicaragua
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2 Dominican Republic
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Nicaragua
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2 Dominican Republic
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2 Dominican Republic
10 Oct
Uruguay
1 : 0 Dominican Republic
09 Sept
Jordan
3 : 0 Dominican Republic
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Curacao | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Haiti | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Dominican Republic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Trinidad & Tobago | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 6 | Nicaragua | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | 0 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guatemala | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Suriname | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Honduras | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Martinique | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 4 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
