Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trinidad & Tobago vs Haiti

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Duverne J.
42'
Sub
Nazon D. In: Metusala G.
Out: Nazon D.
49' Event
Pierrot F.
Assist: Deedson L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Trinidad & Tobago
15%
Draws
85%
Haiti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Haiti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Trinidad & Tobago haven't matched Haiti's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Haiti arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Haiti, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Haiti have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Trinidad & Tobago Clean Sheet 10%
Haiti Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trinidad & Tobago Haiti
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.28 2.32
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Haiti vs Trinidad & Tobago
3:2
Jun 19, 2025 Gold Cup
Trinidad & Tobago vs Haiti
1:1
Jan 8, 2017 Caribbean Cup
Haiti vs Trinidad & Tobago
4:3
Jan 8, 2016 Copa América
Trinidad & Tobago vs Haiti
0:1
Jul 12, 2013 Gold Cup
Trinidad & Tobago vs Haiti
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trinidad & Tobago Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Haiti Compare

Top Goalscorer Pierrot F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trinidad & Tobago 30 / 100
Haiti 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trinidad & Tobago Haiti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Haiti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Trinidad & Tobago scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Haiti let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Haiti lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trinidad & Tobago VS Haiti
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trinidad & Tobago

(Home)
28 Sept
Trinidad & Tobago
1 : 2
Dominican Republic
25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago
26 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
09 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
31 May
South Korea
5 : 0
Trinidad & Tobago
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Haiti

(Away)
27 Sept
Haiti
2 : 0
Costa Rica
25 Sept
Haiti
3 : 2
Trinidad & Tobago
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0
Haiti
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1
Scotland
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Costa Rica 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Dominican Republic 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 Suriname 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Honduras 3 2 0 1 4:7 6
3 Curacao 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 El Salvador 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Guatemala 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Jamaica 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Guadeloupe 3 0 0 3 5:10 0
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Saudi Arabia 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Trinidad & Tobago 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
4 Haiti 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)