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Tripoli SC vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tripoli SC play Al Egtmaaey Tripoli in the Premier League 2016/2017. Tripoli SC are favorites here. Recently, Tripoli SC averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Al Egtmaaey Tripoli averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. In past meetings, Tripoli SC won 4, Al Egtmaaey Tripoli won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 21, 2017 ended 3:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Tripoli SC and 0.75 for Al Egtmaaey Tripoli. This points to a Tripoli SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Tripoli SC
18%
Draws
20%
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Tripoli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Tripoli SC picked up more points recently compared to Al Egtmaaey Tripoli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Tripoli SC Clean Sheet 27%
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tripoli SC Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.09 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2017 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Tripoli SC
3:6
Nov 20, 2016 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
4:0
May 15, 2016 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Tripoli SC
1:3
Oct 23, 2015 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
1:1
Mar 28, 2014 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Tripoli SC
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tripoli SC 61 / 100
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tripoli SC Al Egtmaaey Tripoli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tripoli SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tripoli SC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tripoli SC attacking → ← attacking Al Egtmaaey Tripoli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tripoli SC scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Al Egtmaaey Tripoli let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Tripoli SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Egtmaaey Tripoli lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 18
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Ahed22154341:1449
2Salam Zgharta22124635:2940
3Nejmeh SC22116536:2233
4Al Ansar2295835:4032
5Shabab Baalbeck2294926:2431
6Tadamon22931025:2530
7Racing2286826:3030
8Akha22921135:3729
9Tripoli SC22841034:3128
10Safa2286832:3227
11Al Sahel22741120:2325
12Al Egtmaaey Tripoli22221821:598