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Tripoli SC vs Salam Zgharta

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2022/2023
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Match Events

17' Event
Mougbaya

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2022/2023 game between Tripoli SC and Salam Zgharta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tripoli SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tripoli SC
44%
Draws
20%
Salam Zgharta
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tripoli SC come out ahead of Salam Zgharta on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tripoli SC Clean Sheet 27%
Salam Zgharta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tripoli SC Salam Zgharta
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2023 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Tripoli SC
2:1
Jan 15, 2023 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Salam Zgharta
1:0
Oct 30, 2022 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Salam Zgharta
1:1
Apr 7, 2021 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Tripoli SC
2:3
Oct 17, 2020 Premier League
Salam Zgharta vs Tripoli SC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tripoli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mougbaya
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Salam Zgharta Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tripoli SC 38 / 100
Salam Zgharta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tripoli SC Salam Zgharta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salam Zgharta has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Tripoli SC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Tripoli SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tripoli SC VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%