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Tristan Suarez vs Almirante Brown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 20 de Octubre, Tristan Suarez
Tristan Suarez Logo

Tristan Suarez

3 - 1
FT
Almirante Brown Logo

Almirante Brown

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ramirez S.
Assist: Becker D.
24'
Gauna S.
29' Event
Becker D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Tristan Suarez and Almirante Brown finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tristan Suarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tristan Suarez
35%
Draws
14%
Almirante Brown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tristan Suarez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tristan Suarez come out ahead of Almirante Brown on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tristan Suarez a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%
Almirante Brown Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tristan Suarez Almirante Brown
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 0.93 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Almirante Brown
3:1
Mar 28, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez
0:1
Jun 30, 2024 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Almirante Brown
2:2
Feb 11, 2024 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez
1:2
Sep 18, 2022 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tristan Suarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Becker D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Almirante Brown Compare

Top Goalscorer Zanotti M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tristan Suarez 68 / 100
Almirante Brown 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tristan Suarez Almirante Brown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tristan Suarez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tristan Suarez remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Tristan Suarez scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Almirante Brown lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tristan Suarez VS Almirante Brown
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tristan Suarez

(Home)
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
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Almirante Brown

(Away)
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2
Almirante Brown
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1
Acassuso
20 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
Almirante Brown
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
Ferro
06 Sept
Central Norte
0 : 0
Almirante Brown
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)