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Tristan Suarez vs Chacarita Juniors

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 20 de Octubre, Tristan Suarez
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tristan Suarez host Chacarita Juniors in the Primera Nacional. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Tristan Suarez have averaged 0.5 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Chacarita Juniors's 0.75 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Tristan Suarez have won 1 to Chacarita Juniors's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 0.69) point toward Tristan Suarez. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tristan Suarez
33%
Draws
27%
Chacarita Juniors
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tristan Suarez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Chacarita Juniors haven't matched Tristan Suarez's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tristan Suarez a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tristan Suarez Chacarita Juniors
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Tristan Suarez
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Chacarita Juniors
0:0
May 5, 2024 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Tristan Suarez
1:2
Aug 5, 2023 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Tristan Suarez
1:1
Apr 1, 2023 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Chacarita Juniors
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tristan Suarez 50 / 100
Chacarita Juniors 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tristan Suarez Chacarita Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chacarita Juniors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Tristan Suarez has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tristan Suarez scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Tristan Suarez VS Chacarita Juniors
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tristan Suarez

(Home)
11 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Nueva Chicago
04 Jul
Temperley
1 : 0
Tristan Suarez
21 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
14 Jun
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
06 Jun
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Almagro
Page 1 of 6

Chacarita Juniors

(Away)
12 Jul
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
05 Jul
San Martin S.J.
0 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
21 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
13 Jun
Nueva Chicago
2 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
07 Jun
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Temperley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro21134425:1443
2Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
3Colon Santa Fe2198427:1735
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar21710419:1631
6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)