Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tristan Suarez vs Chacarita Juniors Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 20 de Octubre, Tristan Suarez
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Enrique M.
54' Event
Ramirez S.
Penalty Missed
59' Event
Becker D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Tristan Suarez in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tristan Suarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Tristan Suarez
35%
Draws
19%
Chacarita Juniors
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tristan Suarez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Chacarita Juniors haven't matched Tristan Suarez's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tristan Suarez Chacarita Juniors
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 1 0.64
Goals Conceded 0.48 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Chacarita Juniors
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Tristan Suarez
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs Chacarita Juniors
0:0
May 5, 2024 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Tristan Suarez
1:2
Aug 5, 2023 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs Tristan Suarez
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tristan Suarez 41 / 100
Chacarita Juniors 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tristan Suarez Chacarita Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tristan Suarez Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Tristan Suarez stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Tristan Suarez scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Chacarita Juniors has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Chacarita Juniors lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tristan Suarez VS Chacarita Juniors
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tristan Suarez

(Home)
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 6

Chacarita Juniors

(Away)
26 Sept
Colegiales
2 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
20 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
3 : 0
Quilmes
13 Sept
Midland
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
29 Aug
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
4 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)