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Tristan Suarez vs San Martin T. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio 20 de Octubre, Tristan Suarez
Tristan Suarez Logo

Tristan Suarez

2 - 0
FT
San Martin T. Logo

San Martin T.

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Guzman M.
46'
Sub
Gallardo N. In: Ayala R.
Out: Gallardo N.
46'
Sub
Garcia M. In: Brinone S.
Out: Garcia M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Tristan Suarez and San Martin T. finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tristan Suarez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tristan Suarez
35%
Draws
32%
San Martin T.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tristan Suarez come out ahead of San Martin T. on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tristan Suarez's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Tristan Suarez Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tristan Suarez San Martin T.
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs San Martin T.
2:0
Apr 19, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Tristan Suarez
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Tristan Suarez
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez vs San Martin T.
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Tristan Suarez
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tristan Suarez Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzman M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Enrique M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

San Martin T. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tristan Suarez 46 / 100
San Martin T. 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tristan Suarez San Martin T.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tristan Suarez has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tristan Suarez's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

San Martin T. has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tristan Suarez VS San Martin T.
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tristan Suarez

(Home)
03 Oct
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Quilmes
27 Sept
Midland
0 : 1
Tristan Suarez
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Gimnasia y Tiro
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 6

San Martin T.

(Away)
04 Oct
San Martin T.
1 : 0
Gimnasia y Tiro
28 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 2
San Martin T.
19 Sept
Atl. Rafaela
4 : 2
San Martin T.
13 Sept
San Martin T.
3 : 0
Agropecuario
05 Sept
Tristan Suarez
2 : 0
San Martin T.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 32 17 7 8 51:32 58
3 Godoy Cruz 32 16 8 8 42:29 56
4 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 32 14 10 8 39:25 52
6 Almirante Brown 32 12 10 10 25:21 46
7 CA Estudiantes 32 12 9 11 29:27 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 32 11 12 9 27:28 45
9 Los Andes 32 9 13 10 25:23 40
10 Chaco For Ever 32 9 10 13 30:33 37
11 Defensores de Belgrano 32 8 13 11 25:29 37
12 San Telmo 32 9 10 13 28:36 37
13 Racing Cordoba 32 9 10 13 29:39 37
14 CA Mitre 32 7 14 11 29:39 35
15 Central Norte 32 6 15 11 20:29 33
16 All Boys 32 6 15 11 18:28 33
17 San Miguel 32 6 13 13 25:38 31
18 Acassuso 32 7 8 17 22:35 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 32 15 13 4 32:15 58
2 Temperley 32 15 11 6 38:26 56
3 Atletico Atlanta 32 17 4 11 38:30 55
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 32 15 9 8 48:40 54
5 Midland 32 13 9 10 34:26 48
6 Gimnasia y Tiro 32 13 9 10 32:28 48
7 Deportivo Maipu 32 13 8 11 39:31 47
8 Colegiales 32 13 7 12 32:31 46
9 San Martin S.J. 32 12 9 11 34:32 45
10 San Martin T. 32 10 13 9 35:32 43
11 Atl. Rafaela 32 11 9 12 27:30 42
12 Quilmes 32 10 9 13 30:27 39
13 Almagro 32 10 8 14 28:38 38
14 Agropecuario 32 9 10 13 26:35 37
15 Nueva Chicago 32 9 9 14 23:30 36
16 Patronato 32 6 16 10 27:32 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 32 9 6 17 24:33 33
18 Club Atletico Guemes 32 5 8 19 23:54 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)