Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tritium vs Ciserano-Bergamo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tritium host Ciserano-Bergamo in the Serie D - Group B. This has Ciserano-Bergamo written all over it on paper. Ciserano-Bergamo have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Tritium have conceded 1.69 and scored 0.76. Past meetings favor Ciserano-Bergamo slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2024, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Ciserano-Bergamo. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Tritium
30%
Draws
58%
Ciserano-Bergamo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciserano-Bergamo come out ahead of Tritium on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ciserano-Bergamo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Tritium Clean Sheet 20%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tritium Ciserano-Bergamo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:2
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Tritium
3:0
Jun 2, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:0
Jan 24, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Tritium
3:1
Mar 22, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tritium 20 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tritium Ciserano-Bergamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciserano-Bergamo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tritium's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tritium went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tritium VS Ciserano-Bergamo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tritium

(Home)
11 Oct
Tritium
0 : 1
Club Milano
07 Oct
Villa Valle
2 : 1
Tritium
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0
Tritium
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2
Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Pavonese
3 : 2
Tritium
Page 1 of 6

Ciserano-Bergamo

(Away)
11 Oct
Nibbiano & Valtidone
4 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 Oct
Ciserano-Bergamo
3 : 0
Virtus Verona
27 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Club Milano
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone 7 6 0 1 11:3 18
2 Chievo 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
3 AC Leon 7 3 3 1 12:7 12
4 Caldiero Terme 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Villa Valle 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
7 Pro Palazzolo 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 7 2 3 2 9:8 9
9 AC Milan U23 5 3 0 2 9:9 9
10 Brusaporto 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
11 Virtus Verona 7 2 3 2 6:8 9
12 Real Calepina 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
13 Scanzorosciate 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
14 Club Milano 7 2 1 4 5:7 7
15 Pavonese 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
16 Rovato Vertovese 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 7 0 2 5 7:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)