Sport Picks
Tritium vs Villa Valle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 
Match Events
32'
32'
D'Arcangelo F.
90'
90'
Benzoni D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villa Valle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Villa Valle have won more games recently than Tritium.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Villa Valle taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Tritium Clean Sheet 13%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tritium | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Villa Valle vs Tritium
2:1
Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Villa Valle
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Tritium
2:0
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs Villa Valle
0:2
May 19, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Tritium
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tritium Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Arcangelo F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Villa Valle Compare
Top Goalscorer Benzoni D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tritium 14 / 100
Villa Valle 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tritium Villa Valle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villa Valle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villa Valle has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Tritium found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).
Tritium went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tritium VS Villa Valle
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tritium
(Home) 07 Oct
Villa Valle
2 : 1 Tritium
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0 Tritium
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2 Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Pavonese
3 : 2 Tritium
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2 Rovato Vertovese
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2 Piacenza
14 Aug
Tritium
2 : 2 Solbiatese
05 May
Tritium
2 : 4 Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 3
Villa Valle
(Away) 07 Oct
Villa Valle
2 : 1 Tritium
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2 Villa Valle
20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2 Villa Valle
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chievo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Nibbiano & Valtidone | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Piacenza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Pro Palazzolo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 5 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 6 | AC Leon | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 7 | Caldiero Terme | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 8 | AC Milan U23 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Real Calepina | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Villa Valle | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 13 | Pavonese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Scanzorosciate | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Club Milano | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Rovato Vertovese | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | 3 |
| 17 | Fiorenzuola | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Tritium | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)
