Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta

2 - 0

Mineros de Fresnillo

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

59'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tritones Vallarta in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tritones Vallarta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Tritones Vallarta

33%

Draws

40%

Mineros de Fresnillo

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Mineros de Fresnillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Tritones Vallarta have won more games recently than Mineros de Fresnillo.
Win probability leans Mineros de Fresnillo's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Tritones Vallarta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 19%

Mineros de Fresnillo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tritones Vallarta	Mineros de Fresnillo
Matches Played	31	32
Wins	16	13
Draws	3	6
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1	2.13
Goals Conceded	0.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta vs Mineros de Fresnillo

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

2:0

Oct 4, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tritones Vallarta

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

2:3

Jan 25, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A

Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tritones Vallarta

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sep 21, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta vs Mineros de Fresnillo

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Mar 16, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A

Tritones Vallarta vs Mineros de Fresnillo

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tritones Vallarta 28 / 100

Mineros de Fresnillo 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tritones Vallarta Mineros de Fresnillo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tritones Vallarta found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Mineros de Fresnillo conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Tritones Vallarta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tritones Vallarta VS Mineros de Fresnillo

1 Goals Scored 2.13

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

38% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	26	21	2	3	71:16	74
2	Tigres de Alica	26	17	3	6	46:25	56
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	26	15	7	4	46:19	54
4	Leones Negros 2	26	16	2	8	42:26	53
5	Tecos	26	14	4	8	49:34	49
6	Tritones Vallarta	26	15	1	10	32:27	46
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	26	11	4	11	40:41	39
8	Los Cabos United	26	11	3	12	37:40	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	26	8	5	13	38:42	32
10	UA Zacatecas	26	8	4	14	32:49	29
11	Ensenada FC	26	8	2	16	30:55	28
12	Reboceros de La Piedad	26	7	1	18	39:66	23
13	Zapotlanejo	26	6	1	19	39:73	21
14	Colima FC	26	4	3	19	24:52	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	26	21	2	3	47:19	66
2	FC Santiago	26	14	7	5	43:21	51
3	Zacatepec	26	12	8	6	29:15	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	26	11	6	9	44:27	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	26	12	7	7	37:26	44
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	26	12	5	9	31:22	44
7	Lobos ULMX	26	11	6	9	33:28	40
8	Correcaminos 2	26	9	7	10	27:25	36
9	Chilpancingo	26	9	8	9	33:41	35
10	Cordobes FC	26	8	6	12	29:30	30
11	Zitacuaro	26	6	10	10	22:31	28
12	CS Canamy	26	5	8	13	33:53	26
13	Ciervos	26	4	4	18	20:50	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	26	4	4	18	22:62	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	24	21	3	0	55:9	71
2	Deportiva Venados	24	15	4	5	61:25	52
3	Tapachula	24	13	0	11	51:35	44
4	Celaya	24	12	4	8	42:32	43
5	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
6	Montaneses	24	12	2	10	35:28	38
7	Pioneros	24	10	3	11	35:35	35
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	24	9	4	11	33:32	34
9	Heroes de Zaci	24	10	2	12	33:46	34
10	Chapulineros	24	5	8	11	21:33	23
11	Canoneros FC	24	7	1	16	25:49	22
12	Neza FC	24	5	2	17	25:73	19
13	Dragones Toluca	24	4	3	17	21:47	17