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Tritones Vallarta vs Reboceros de La Piedad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primera Premier game between Tritones Vallarta and Reboceros de La Piedad finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Reboceros de La Piedad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Tritones Vallarta
20%
Draws
69%
Reboceros de La Piedad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Reboceros de La Piedad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Tritones Vallarta have managed 0.94 goals a game lately — Reboceros de La Piedad are scoring more at 1.73.
  • Reboceros de La Piedad are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tritones Vallarta have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 16%
Reboceros de La Piedad Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tritones Vallarta Reboceros de La Piedad
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 1
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.94 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.16 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Primera Premier
Tritones Vallarta vs Reboceros de La Piedad
0:1
Jan 18, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Reboceros de La Piedad vs Tritones Vallarta
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Reboceros de La Piedad
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tritones Vallarta 15 / 100
Reboceros de La Piedad 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tritones Vallarta Reboceros de La Piedad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reboceros de La Piedad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Reboceros de La Piedad let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Tritones Vallarta's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Tritones Vallarta remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tritones Vallarta VS Reboceros de La Piedad
0.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tritones Vallarta

(Home)
11 Oct
Irapuato
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
04 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Zacatepec
Page 1 of 7

Reboceros de La Piedad

(Away)
10 Oct
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
03 Oct
Zacatepec
2 : 3
Reboceros de La Piedad
22 Sept
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 3
Irapuato
12 Sept
Cordobes FC
1 : 2
Reboceros de La Piedad
05 Sept
Reboceros de La Piedad
3 : 0
Purepechas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 6 6 0 0 14:4 19
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 6 5 0 1 12:7 14
3 Tigres de Alica 7 3 2 2 9:7 11
4 Zacatepec 6 3 1 2 8:7 11
5 Los Cabos United 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
6 Cordobes FC 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
7 Lobos ULMX 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
8 Tritones Vallarta 6 0 2 4 3:7 2
9 Purepechas 5 0 1 4 1:7 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pioneros 6 5 0 1 18:7 16
2 Racing de Veracruz 6 4 2 0 18:7 16
3 Celaya 7 4 1 2 11:7 13
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 6 3 1 2 6:5 11
5 Deportiva Venados 6 1 2 3 10:13 6
6 Montaneses 6 2 1 3 9:12 6
7 Chapulineros 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
9 Tapachula 5 1 0 4 5:14 3
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)