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Trival Valderas vs AD Torrejon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Daoud H.
65' Event
Echarri M.
78' Event
Echarri M.

AI Match Summary

Trival Valderas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trival Valderas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Trival Valderas
30%
Draws
35%
AD Torrejon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Trival Valderas have won more games recently than AD Torrejon.
  • Trival Valderas are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas AD Torrejon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs AD Torrejon
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Trival Valderas
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Trival Valderas
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs AD Torrejon
0:2
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs AD Torrejon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Echarri M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AD Torrejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Daoud H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 68 / 100
AD Torrejon 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas AD Torrejon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trival Valderas scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: AD Torrejon conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Trival Valderas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS AD Torrejon
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
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AD Torrejon

(Away)
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2
AD Torrejon
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3
CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)