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Trival Valderas vs Moratalaz

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022
Trival Valderas Logo

Trival Valderas

1 - 3
FT
Moratalaz Logo

Moratalaz

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 game between Trival Valderas and Moratalaz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moratalaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Trival Valderas
20%
Draws
22%
Moratalaz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trival Valderas come out ahead of Moratalaz on wins alone.
  • Trival Valderas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 68%
Moratalaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas Moratalaz
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 10 4
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Moratalaz
1:3
Dec 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs Trival Valderas
2:2
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Moratalaz vs Trival Valderas
0:0
Dec 6, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Moratalaz
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 95 / 100
Moratalaz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas Moratalaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trival Valderas found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Moratalaz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Trival Valderas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 7

Moratalaz

(Away)
01 May
AD Alcala
2 : 0
Moratalaz
24 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 6
AD Torrejon
16 Apr
Moratalaz
3 : 4
Villaviciosa de Odon
10 Apr
Moratalaz
1 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
03 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 3
Moratalaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid B 40 29 8 3 82:26 95
2 CD Las Rozas 40 22 9 9 68:35 75
3 CDE Madrid 40 20 12 8 61:42 72
4 Alcorcon B 40 19 12 9 63:39 69
5 Paracuellos Antamira 40 19 9 12 56:44 66
6 Ursaria 40 16 16 8 47:27 64
7 RSD Alcala 40 18 10 12 45:40 64
8 Getafe B 40 17 10 13 56:46 61
9 Rayo Vallecano B 40 15 12 13 59:43 57
10 AD Torrejon 40 16 9 15 55:48 57
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 40 15 12 13 39:45 57
12 Galapagar 40 16 8 16 50:57 56
13 Trival Valderas 40 13 14 13 40:42 53
14 Parla 40 14 10 16 46:46 52
15 Tres Cantos 40 13 8 19 41:52 47
16 Villaverde San Andres 40 13 6 21 35:45 45
17 Moratalaz 40 12 7 21 46:73 43
18 Villaviciosa de Odon 40 10 8 22 47:73 38
19 AD Alcala 40 9 10 21 31:58 37
20 Carabanchel 40 7 12 21 43:70 33
21 Colonia Moscardo 40 5 2 33 20:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2021/2022 (Play Offs)