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Trival Valderas vs Mostoles CF Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Trival Valderas
20%
Draws
34%
Mostoles CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trival Valderas lately — more wins on the board than Mostoles CF.
  • Trival Valderas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 20%
Mostoles CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trival Valderas Mostoles CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 2 17
Goals Scored 1.47 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Mostoles CF
1:1
Dec 13, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mostoles CF vs Trival Valderas
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trival Valderas 85 / 100
Mostoles CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trival Valderas Mostoles CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trival Valderas scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Mostoles CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Trival Valderas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Mostoles CF registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trival Valderas VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trival Valderas

(Home)
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 6

Mostoles CF

(Away)
20 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
3 : 1
Mostoles CF
13 Jun
Mostoles CF
0 : 3
San Fernando de Henares
06 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 0
Mostoles CF
27 May
Mostoles CF
2 : 0
Santa Ana
23 May
AD Alcala
0 : 2
Mostoles CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Adarve 22 13 5 4 41:17 44
2 Moratalaz 22 11 7 4 36:20 40
3 Rayo Vallecano B 22 10 8 4 35:27 38
4 Pozuelo de Alarcon 22 11 5 6 33:20 38
5 Flat Earth FC 22 9 6 7 19:18 33
6 AD Torrejon 22 7 11 4 32:17 32
7 AD Alcala 22 8 6 8 22:22 30
8 RSD Alcala 22 6 10 6 20:16 28
9 Paracuellos Antamira 22 6 8 8 18:27 26
10 Villanueva del Pardillo CF 22 5 4 13 14:28 19
11 San Fernando de Henares 22 4 6 12 18:36 18
12 Santa Ana 22 2 4 16 11:51 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leganes B 20 15 5 0 34:12 50
2 CD Mostoles 20 13 5 2 28:11 44
3 Alcorcon B 20 9 7 4 32:15 34
4 Parla 20 7 7 6 20:20 28
5 Carabanchel 20 5 9 6 18:20 24
6 Atletico Pinto 20 7 3 10 20:30 24
7 Trival Valderas 20 5 8 7 15:21 23
8 Villaverde San Andres 20 6 3 11 18:29 21
9 El Alamo 20 3 7 10 24:33 16
10 Mostoles CF 20 3 6 11 15:26 15
11 Real Aranjuez 20 3 6 11 19:32 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)