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Trnje vs Dugo Selo Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Filipovic N.

AI Match Summary

Dugo Selo in this Druga NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dugo Selo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Trnje
15%
Draws
48%
Dugo Selo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dugo Selo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Trnje average 1.55 goals a game right now, well clear of Dugo Selo's 0.86.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Druga NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Trnje Clean Sheet 20%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trnje Dugo Selo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.55 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Druga NL
Trnje vs Dugo Selo
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Trnje
3:0
Mar 15, 2025 Druga NL
Trnje vs Dugo Selo
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Druga NL
Dugo Selo vs Trnje
2:2
May 11, 2024 Druga NL
Trnje vs Dugo Selo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trnje Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dugo Selo Compare

Top Goalscorer Filipovic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trnje 32 / 100
Dugo Selo 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trnje Dugo Selo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dugo Selo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trnje scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Trnje has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Dugo Selo conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Trnje VS Dugo Selo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trnje

(Home)
03 Oct
Trnje
2 : 0
Uljanik Pula
26 Sept
Solin
3 : 1
Trnje
19 Sept
Trnje
0 : 1
Dragovoljac
12 Sept
Jarun
3 : 3
Trnje
05 Sept
Trnje
1 : 0
NK Koprivnica
Page 1 of 6

Dugo Selo

(Away)
03 Oct
Zagora
0 : 4
Dugo Selo
26 Sept
Dugo Selo
3 : 0
Zapresic
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
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