Sport Picks

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Trnje vs Kustosija

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Dobrilovic K.
79'
Graf I.

AI Match Summary

Trnje in this Druga NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trnje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Trnje
35%
Draws
25%
Kustosija
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Trnje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kustosija lately — more wins on the board than Trnje.
  • Win probability leans Trnje's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Druga NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Trnje Clean Sheet 20%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trnje Kustosija
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Druga NL
Trnje vs Kustosija
1:0
Nov 14, 2025 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Trnje
1:0
Feb 21, 2025 Druga NL
Kustosija vs Trnje
4:0
Aug 24, 2024 Druga NL
Trnje vs Kustosija
1:1
Mar 23, 2024 Druga NL
Trnje vs Kustosija
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trnje Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobrilovic K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kustosija Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trnje 49 / 100
Kustosija 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trnje Kustosija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trnje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trnje scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Trnje remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Kustosija conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Trnje VS Kustosija
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Trnje

(Home)
28 Aug
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Trnje
22 Aug
Trnje
3 : 0
NK Inker Zapresic
14 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 2
Trnje
25 Jul
Mladost Zdralovi
2 : 2
Trnje
30 May
Trnje
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
Page 1 of 6

Kustosija

(Away)
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
30 Aug
Kustosija
1 : 2
Mladost Zdralovi
25 Aug
Kustosija
3 : 1
HNK Zadar
22 Aug
Dugopolje
1 : 1
Kustosija
29 Jul
Kustosija
1 : 2
Karlovac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
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