Sport Picks
Trofense vs AD Marco 09 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa 
AI Match Summary
Trofense host AD Marco 09 in the Liga 3. This one's hard to separate. AD Marco 09 have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Trofense have conceded 1.23 and scored 0.67. Head-to-head, Trofense have won 0 to AD Marco 09's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 1.38, favoring AD Marco 09. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to AD Marco 09 lately — more wins on the board than Trofense.
- AD Marco 09 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Trofense | AD Marco 09 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AD Marco 09 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Trofense scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Trofense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Trofense
(Home)AD Marco 09
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Leca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 3 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 10 |
| 4 | SC Vianense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 6 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Mafra | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 6 | Santarem | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 7 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Covilha | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
