Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trofense vs Amarante FC

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa
Trofense Logo

Trofense

0 - 0
FT
Amarante FC Logo

Amarante FC

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Basto H.
40'
Sub
Joel In: Reko
Out: Joel
41'
Reko
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Trofense and Amarante FC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Trofense
30%
Draws
47%
Amarante FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Amarante FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Amarante FC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Trofense Clean Sheet 20%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trofense Amarante FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0.67 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Liga 3
Trofense vs Amarante FC
0:0
Mar 8, 2026 Liga 3
Amarante FC vs Trofense
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Liga 3
Amarante FC vs Trofense
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga 3
Trofense vs Amarante FC
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Liga 3
Trofense vs Amarante FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trofense 12 / 100
Amarante FC 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trofense Amarante FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amarante FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amarante FC has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Trofense found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Trofense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Trofense VS Amarante FC
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Trofense

(Home)
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4
Leca
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0
Trofense
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1
Trofense
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
15 Aug
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Trofense
Page 1 of 6

Amarante FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 14 9 4 1 22:11 31
2 Academica 14 8 4 2 23:13 28
3 CF Os Belenenses 14 7 5 2 25:16 26
4 Mafra 14 5 2 7 17:24 17
5 Vitoria Guimaraes B 14 4 5 5 16:17 17
6 Varzim 14 4 2 8 13:19 14
7 Santarem 14 2 4 8 13:20 10
8 Trofense 14 2 4 8 7:16 10
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)