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Trofense vs Canelas 2010

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2023/2024 Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Doukoure H.
21'
Welisson
23' Event
Valente N.

AI Match Summary

Trofense in this Liga 3 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trofense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Trofense
30%
Draws
23%
Canelas 2010
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trofense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Trofense haven't matched Canelas 2010's recent run of results.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 3 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Trofense Clean Sheet 22%
Canelas 2010 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trofense Canelas 2010
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Liga 3
Trofense vs Canelas 2010
4:1
Mar 16, 2024 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Trofense
1:1
Jan 21, 2024 Liga 3
Canelas 2010 vs Trofense
1:0
Oct 7, 2023 Liga 3
Trofense vs Canelas 2010
1:1
Apr 19, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Trofense vs Canelas 2010
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trofense Compare

Top Goalscorer Valente N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiago Andre
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Canelas 2010 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trofense 37 / 100
Canelas 2010 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trofense Canelas 2010

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canelas 2010 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canelas 2010's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Canelas 2010 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Trofense found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Trofense VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trofense

(Home)
12 Sept
Trofense
1 : 4
Leca
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0
Trofense
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1
Trofense
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
15 Aug
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Trofense
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Canelas 2010

(Away)
04 May
Canelas 2010
0 : 2
AD Fafe
27 Apr
Anadia
1 : 0
Canelas 2010
14 Apr
Trofense
4 : 1
Canelas 2010
07 Apr
Canelas 2010
1 : 1
Sanjoanense
30 Mar
SC Vianense
0 : 0
Canelas 2010
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