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Troina vs Roccella Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Aperi S.

AI Match Summary

Troina in this Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Troina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Troina
20%
Draws
29%
Roccella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Troina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Troina have won more games recently than Roccella.
  • Troina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Troina Clean Sheet 18%
Roccella Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troina Roccella
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.06 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Troina vs Roccella
1:0
Nov 29, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Troina
1:0
Mar 8, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Troina
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Troina vs Roccella
1:0
Mar 31, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs Troina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troina Compare

Top Goalscorer Aperi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Roccella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troina 85 / 100
Roccella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troina Roccella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roccella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Troina found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Troina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Roccella lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Troina VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Troina

(Home)
22 May
San Luca
4 : 5
Troina
15 May
Troina
0 : 3
Gelbison
08 May
Licata
0 : 0
Troina
04 May
Troina
2 : 1
Castrovillari
01 May
Sancataldese
1 : 0
Troina
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Roccella

(Away)
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1
Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1
Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0
Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1
Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACR Messina 34 21 11 2 66:25 74
2 FC Messina 34 21 9 4 59:25 72
3 Gelbison 34 19 9 6 54:32 66
4 San Luca 34 17 7 10 46:38 58
5 AS Acireale 34 17 6 11 51:32 57
6 Dattilo 34 16 4 14 51:47 52
7 Rotonda 34 13 10 11 31:33 49
8 Santa Maria Cilento 34 10 15 9 43:29 45
9 Biancavilla 34 14 4 16 43:47 45
10 Licata 34 11 10 13 36:39 43
11 Castrovillari 34 10 11 13 39:37 41
12 Paterno 34 10 9 15 28:35 39
13 Cittanovese 34 10 9 15 42:51 39
14 S. Agata 34 8 12 14 32:48 36
15 Troina 34 9 9 16 27:47 36
16 Rende 34 9 7 18 38:58 34
17 Marina di Ragusa 34 8 9 17 38:58 33
18 Roccella 34 5 5 24 25:68 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)