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Trollhattan vs FBK Karlstad

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trollhattan play FBK Karlstad in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Trollhattan averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. FBK Karlstad averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Trollhattan won 3, FBK Karlstad won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Trollhattan and 1.94 for FBK Karlstad. This points to a FBK Karlstad double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Trollhattan
15%
Draws
47%
FBK Karlstad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FBK Karlstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Trollhattan picked up more points recently compared to FBK Karlstad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Trollhattan Clean Sheet 10%
FBK Karlstad Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trollhattan FBK Karlstad
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.8 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Trollhattan vs FBK Karlstad
2:1
Mar 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Trollhattan vs FBK Karlstad
0:3
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Trollhattan vs FBK Karlstad
0:2
Aug 25, 2018 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
FBK Karlstad vs Trollhattan
0:3
May 6, 2018 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Trollhattan vs FBK Karlstad
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trollhattan 36 / 100
FBK Karlstad 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trollhattan FBK Karlstad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FBK Karlstad or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Trollhattan attacking → ← attacking FBK Karlstad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trollhattan scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

FBK Karlstad let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Trollhattan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FBK Karlstad lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 51
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25