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Tromsdalen (TUIL) vs Lyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

NM Cup TUIL arena, Tromsø
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Tromsdalen (TUIL) have averaged 2.1 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Lyn's 1.72 scored and 1.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Tromsdalen (TUIL) slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2024, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.69, favoring Tromsdalen (TUIL). The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
15%
Draws
37%
Lyn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tromsdalen (TUIL)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tromsdalen (TUIL) come out ahead of Lyn on wins alone.
  • Model gives Tromsdalen (TUIL) a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Tromsdalen (TUIL) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tromsdalen (TUIL), who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tromsdalen (TUIL) have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tromsdalen (TUIL) Clean Sheet 13%
Lyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromsdalen (TUIL) Lyn
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 2.1 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2024 NM Cup
Tromsdalen (TUIL) vs Lyn
3:1
Nov 19, 2023 Division 2 - Group 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL) vs Lyn
0:2
Nov 15, 2023 Division 2 - Group 1
Lyn vs Tromsdalen (TUIL)
1:2
Sep 20, 2015 Division 2 - Group 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL) vs Lyn
3:0
Jun 7, 2015 Division 2 - Group 1
Lyn vs Tromsdalen (TUIL)
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromsdalen (TUIL) 84 / 100
Lyn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromsdalen (TUIL) Lyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tromsdalen (TUIL) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tromsdalen (TUIL) scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Lyn let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tromsdalen (TUIL) has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tromsdalen (TUIL) VS Lyn
2.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromsdalen (TUIL)

(Home)
04 Oct
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
4 : 2
Levanger
27 Sept
Honefoss
2 : 1
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
20 Sept
Skeid
0 : 6
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
16 Sept
Grorud
2 : 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
13 Sept
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
3 : 1
Trygg/Lade
Page 1 of 6

Lyn

(Away)
04 Oct
Bryne
1 : 0
Lyn
20 Sept
Lyn
1 : 4
Ranheim
16 Sept
Gamle Oslo
1 : 3
Lyn
13 Sept
Hodd
0 : 2
Lyn
06 Sept
Lyn
1 : 1
Egersund
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Baerum 4
Mjondalen 0
Aurskog/Finstadbru 0
Lillestrom 3
Froya 0
Sotra 6
Fjora 0
Sogndal 8
Tynset 0
Trygg/Lade 3
Midsund 0
Molde 11
Asker 7
Kvik Halden 0
Modum 0
Stromsgodset 6
Fram 1
Jerv 2
Vag 2
Egersund 5
Fana 1
Bjarg 3
Rosseland 0
Bryne 3
Volda 2
Brattvag 6
Tronder-Lyn 0
Kristiansund 5
Floro 2
Forde 4
Langevag 0
Aalesund 13
Froland 1
Arendal 5
Varhaug 2
Sandnes Ulf 3
Stalkam 2
Rana FK 3
Fauske Sprint 0
Bodo/Glimt 5
Askoy 1
Sandviken 2
Arna-Bjornar 0
Asane 1
Rollon 0
Traeff 7
Spjelkavik 1
Hodd 2
Strindheim 0
Levanger 8
Steinkjer 0
Ranheim 6
Melhus 0
Stjordals Blink 3
Eidsvold IF 1
Fredrikstad 7
Madla IL 3
Vidar 2
Brodd 1
Viking 3
Eik-Tonsberg 1
Honefoss 4
Ready 0
KFUM Oslo 4
Elverum 7
Ull/Kisa 6
Ridabu 0
Raufoss 4
Vindbjart 2
Flekkeroy 1
Flekkefjord 1
Start 2
Bossekop 1
Alta 2
Ulfstind 0
Tromso 5
Nord 0
Djerv 1919 4
V. Haugesund 3
Haugesund 4
Assiden 0
Notodden 4
Teie 0
Odds BK 10
Flint 2
Orn 0
Eidanger 0
Sandefjord 15
Uradd 0
Pors 3
Heming 0
Stabaek 2
Gjovik-Lyn 2
Eidsvold TF 7
Skreia 2
Kongsvinger 14
Harstad 0
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1
Lillehammer 2
Strommen 4
Gamle Oslo 6
Drobak-Frogn 1
Grei 0
Lyn 4
Floya 5
Junkeren 3
Nationalkameratene 0
Rosenborg 9
Frigg 0
Kjelsas 4
Trysil 0
Ham-Kam 5
Lokomotiv Oslo 1
Grorud 5
Lorenskog 0
Moss 3
OS TF 2
Lysekloster 0
Fyllingen 0
Brann 4
Rade 1
Follo 2
Sparta Sarpsborg 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Nordstrand 1
Skeid 4
Christiania BK 2
Valerenga 7
1/32-finals
Baerum 1
Lillestrom 5
Sotra 1
Sogndal 2
Trygg/Lade 0
Molde 5
Asker 1
Stromsgodset 4
Jerv 1
Egersund 2
Bjarg 1
Bryne 4
Brattvag 1
Kristiansund 2
Forde 3
Aalesund 4
Arendal 1
Sandnes Ulf 2
Rana FK 2
Bodo/Glimt 6
Sandviken 2
Asane 3
Traeff 0
Hodd 3
Levanger 0
Ranheim 2
Stjordals Blink 0
Fredrikstad 1
Madla IL 0
Viking 3
Honefoss 0
KFUM Oslo 2
Elverum 0
Raufoss 3
Vindbjart 2
Start 3
Alta 1
Tromso 2
Djerv 1919 0
Haugesund 4
Notodden 2
Odds BK 3
Flint 0
Sandefjord 1
Pors 2
Stabaek 1
Eidsvold TF 2
Kongsvinger 3
Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9
Strommen 1
Gamle Oslo 1
Lyn 3
Floya 1
Rosenborg 4
Kjelsas 0
Ham-Kam 2
Grorud 2
Moss 1
OS TF 1
Brann 2
Follo 0
Sarpsborg 08 2
Skeid 1
Valerenga 4
1/16-finals
Lillestrom -
Sogndal -
Molde -
Stromsgodset -
Egersund -
Bryne -
Kristiansund -
Aalesund -
Sandnes Ulf -
Bodo/Glimt -
Asane -
Hodd -
Ranheim -
Fredrikstad -
Viking -
KFUM Oslo -
Raufoss 1
Start 5
Tromso -
Haugesund -
Odds BK -
Sandefjord -
Pors -
Kongsvinger -
Tromsdalen (TUIL) -
Lyn -
Rosenborg -
Ham-Kam -
Grorud -
Brann -
Sarpsborg 08 -
Valerenga -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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