Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tromso vs Lillestrom

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Romssa Arena, Tromsø
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Ibrahimaj Y.
46'
Sub
Larsen L. O. In: Larsen H.
Out: Larsen L. O.
68'
Sub
Drammeh S. In: Jebara C.
Out: Drammeh S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Tromso
11%
Draws
9%
Lillestrom
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Tromso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tromso lately — more wins on the board than Lillestrom.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Tromso taking it.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tromso Clean Sheet 17%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso Lillestrom
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Lillestrom
0:0
Feb 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Tromso vs Lillestrom
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Tromso
0:1
Jun 2, 2024 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Lillestrom
1:2
Aug 6, 2023 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Lillestrom
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 75 / 100
Lillestrom 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso Lillestrom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tromso scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Lillestrom let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tromso stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tromso VS Lillestrom
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso

(Home)
23 Jul
Tromso
0 : 1
Hradec Kralove
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4
Tromso
11 Jul
Tromso
4 : 0
Valerenga
25 Jun
Tromso
4 : 1
Orgryte
29 May
KFUM Oslo
0 : 0
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

Lillestrom

(Away)
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KFUM Oslo
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt15112237:1135
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Valerenga1462622:2420
8Brann1561830:2519
9Rosenborg1453619:1818
10Ham-Kam1453620:2618
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)