Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tromso vs Mjallby

World World

Atlantic Cup Estadio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Larsen L. O.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Tromso
30%
Draws
23%
Mjallby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tromso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tromso have won more games recently than Mjallby.
  • Tromso are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Tromso have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tromso, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tromso Clean Sheet 18%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso Mjallby
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.85 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Atlantic Cup
Tromso vs Mjallby
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tromso Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen L. O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Mjallby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 40 / 100
Mjallby 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso Mjallby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tromso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tromso found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Mjallby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Mjallby's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tromso VS Mjallby
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso

(Home)
16 Sept
Alta
1 : 2
Tromso
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3
Tromso
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0
Tromso
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
27 Aug
Brighton
4 : 0
Tromso
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Mjallby

(Away)
16 Sept
AIK
1 : 1
Mjallby
11 Sept
Hacken
1 : 1
Mjallby
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
31 Aug
Djurgarden
4 : 0
Mjallby
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