Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tromso vs Mjallby

World World

Atlantic Cup Estadio Algarve, Faro/Loulé
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Larsen L. O.

AI Match Summary

Tromso in this Atlantic Cup tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tromso
33%
Draws
27%
Mjallby
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tromso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tromso have won more games recently than Mjallby.
  • Tromso are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Tromso have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tromso, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tromso Clean Sheet 18%
Mjallby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso Mjallby
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Atlantic Cup
Tromso vs Mjallby
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tromso Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen L. O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mjallby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso 40 / 100
Mjallby 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso Mjallby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tromso found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Mjallby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Tromso stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tromso VS Mjallby
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso

(Home)
30 Jul
Hradec Kralove
3 : 1
Tromso
23 Jul
Tromso
0 : 1
Hradec Kralove
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4
Tromso
11 Jul
Tromso
4 : 0
Valerenga
25 Jun
Tromso
4 : 1
Orgryte
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Mjallby

(Away)
28 Jul
Lincoln Red Imps
0 : 0
Mjallby
25 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 1
Mjallby
21 Jul
Mjallby
3 : 0
Lincoln Red Imps
17 Jul
Mjallby
0 : 0
Vasteras SK
11 Jul
Mjallby
1 : 2
AIK
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