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Tromso W vs Valerenga W

Norway Norway

Norway Cup Women 2026
Tromso W Logo

Tromso W

1 - 3
FT
Valerenga W Logo

Valerenga W

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Brekken S.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Preus M.
68' Event
Iversen E.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Valerenga W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tromso W
15%
Draws
54%
Valerenga W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valerenga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valerenga W come out ahead of Tromso W on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Tromso W taking it.
  • Valerenga W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Valerenga W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tromso W Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tromso W Valerenga W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.34 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Norway Cup Women
Tromso W vs Valerenga W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tromso W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Valerenga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Preus M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hansen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tromso W 34 / 100
Valerenga W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tromso W Valerenga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tromso W found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Valerenga W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Tromso W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tromso W VS Valerenga W
2.25 Goals Scored 3.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tromso W

(Home)
27 Sept
Tromso W
2 : 3
Arna-Bjornar W
20 Sept
Grei W
3 : 2
Tromso W
16 Sept
Porsanger W
0 : 5
Tromso W
13 Sept
Tromso W
2 : 2
Kolbotn W
05 Sept
Klepp W
0 : 2
Tromso W
Page 1 of 6

Valerenga W

(Away)
30 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Feyenoord W
26 Sept
Molde W
0 : 4
Valerenga W
23 Sept
Feyenoord W
4 : 1
Valerenga W
17 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Haugesund W
11 Sept
Roa W
3 : 6
Valerenga W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Kongsvinger W 2
Grei W 5
Bodo/Glimt W -
TBD -
Ovrevoll Hosle W 1
Frigg W 2
TBD -
Lyn W -
Fana W 3
Klepp W 2
Lyngbo W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 5
Forde W 0
Sogndal W 5
TBD -
Brann W -
Raufoss W 0
Viking W 2
TBD -
Haugesund W -
Grimstad W 1
Bryne W 3
Arendal W 0
Start W 7
Ranheim W 1
Tynset W 4
TBD -
LSK Kvinner W -
Sarpsborg 08 W 2
Kolbotn W 0
TBD -
Honefoss W -
Sandefjord W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 3
KFUM Oslo W 0
Asane W 3
Rana FK W 1
Malvik W 3
TBD -
Rosenborg W -
Alta W 3
Krokelvdalen W 0
TBD -
Roa W -
Stromsgodset W 1
Odds BK W 2
TBD -
Stabaek W -
Melbo W 1
Medkila W 8
Lillestrom W 1
Tromso W 9
Storhamar Fotball W 0
Ham-Kam W 3
Valerenga W -
TBD -
Hodd W 0
Kil/Hemne W 3
TBD -
Aalesund W -
Steinkjer W 0
Tiller W 4
TBD -
Molde W -
1/16-finals
Grei W 3
Bodo/Glimt W 1
Frigg W 0
Lyn W 4
Fana W 2
Fyllingsdalen W 1
Sogndal W 1
Brann W 5
Viking W 3
Haugesund W 2
Bryne W 1
Start W 2
Tynset W 0
LSK Kvinner W 3
Sarpsborg 08 W 0
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 1
Asane W 0
Malvik W 0
Rosenborg W 15
Alta W 0
Roa W 10
Odds BK W 0
Stabaek W 4
Medkila W 0
Tromso W 7
Ham-Kam W 1
Valerenga W 8
Kil/Hemne W 1
Aalesund W 6
Tiller W 1
Molde W 3
1/8-finals
Grei W 1
Lyn W 4
Fana W 0
Brann W 3
Viking W 3
Start W 0
LSK Kvinner W 2
Honefoss W 3
Arna-Bjornar W 4
Rosenborg W 0
Roa W 1
Stabaek W 2
Tromso W 1
Valerenga W 3
Aalesund W 5
Molde W 1
Quarter-finals
Lyn W 0
Brann W 2
Viking W 4
Honefoss W 2
Arna-Bjornar W 2
Stabaek W 3
Valerenga W 1
Aalesund W 2
Semi-finals
Brann W 3
Viking W 0
Stabaek W 3
Aalesund W 4
Final
Brann W 3
Aalesund W 1